Skip to content

Number Theory — Collatz conjecture (3n+1) cascade report

Cascade: A ∘ I ∘ C ∘ K ∘ N ∘ M (six classes) Partition: #12 of PR #677 — opens Number Theory section Roster: 24 attested starting values — small baselines + OEIS A006884/A006885 record-setters + powers of 2 + Mersenne primes Status: verdict (a) SURVIVES — Class K pin-slot saturation 24/24 (every trajectory reaches the cycle in bounded simulation); power-of-2 baseline Class N 1/1 EXACT; Mersenne anchor composes with framework Hurwitz heptadic canon


1. Class breakdown

Class Role in Collatz reading
A content-hash Identifies each trajectory by (n, stopping time, max trajectory value)
I cyclic Z/2 parity test n mod 2 — the branch-choice primitive
C orientation Cascade-orientation between halving (even) and 3n+1 (odd); the alternation IS Class C sign-flip per [[user_stance_epicycle_via_gear_plus_pin]] applied to the integer-trajectory loop
K pin-slot at zero Stopping time σ(n) IS Class K pin-slot depth from n to 1. The conjecture IS that this pin-slot depth is finite for all n.
N rational anchor "Constant" 3 in 3n+1 is integer; conjectured average σ ~ c · log_2(n); power-of-2 baseline σ = log_2(n) EXACT (1/1 anchor)
M HDC bind Trajectory IS Class M composition of per-step (Class I + Class C) primitives across time

2. Class K pin-slot saturation test

The Collatz conjecture: every positive integer n eventually reaches 1 (entering the cycle 1 → 4 → 2 → 1).

The cascade reading: this IS the Class K asymptotic-DoF pin-slot saturation question — does the trajectory always reach the pin-slot at n = 1?

Empirical result over 24-trajectory roster (bounded simulation, max 10000 steps):

Result Count Notes
Reaches cycle 24 / 24 Bounded simulation; conjecture holds across roster
Did NOT reach cycle 0 / 24

Empirical bound (external attestation): Oliveira e Silva (2009) verified the conjecture for n < 5 × 10¹⁸; Barina (2020) extended to n < 2.95 × 10²⁰. Class K pin-slot at 1 is empirically saturated up to ~10²⁰ — a substrate-DoF satisfaction at extraordinary cardinality.

Per [[project_a_n_operators_are_harmonic_objects_themselves]] §B: the open conjecture status (no proof for arbitrary n) IS the substrate-DoF inaccessibility cost at the integer-trajectory substrate. The cascade reads the empirical saturation up to 10²⁰ as substrate-perfect-math-within-bounded-reach; the unbounded statement remains open per the framework's substrate-DoF canon.


3. Class N anchor — power-of-2 baseline EXACT

For starting values n = 2^k (pure power of 2), the Collatz trajectory has no Class C orientation flips (every step is halving). The stopping time is therefore:

σ(2^k) = k = log_2(n) EXACT

n k = log_2(n) σ(n) Ratio σ/log_2(n) Class N
1024 = 2¹⁰ 10 10 1.000 1/1
65536 = 2¹⁶ 16 16 1.000 1/1
1048576 = 2²⁰ 20 20 1.000 1/1

Reading: power-of-2 starting values give the cleanest Class N anchor (1/1) baseline — pure Class I + zero Class C, hence stopping time = log_2(n) bit-exact. This is the cascade-honest baseline against which all other trajectories are measured.

Non-power-of-2 trajectories accumulate Class C orientation flips

For starting values with odd factors, each odd-step (3n+1) is a Class C orientation flip + amplification. The empirical roster:

n Category σ(n) log_2(n) Ratio Peak amplification
3 small 7 1.58 4.42 5.33×
7 small (also M_3) 16 2.81 5.70 7.43×
27 famous record 111 4.75 23.3 341.93×
871 famous record 178 9.77 18.2 219.3×
6171 famous record 261 12.59 20.7 158.1×
8400511 famous record 685 23.00 29.8 18977.97×
63728127 famous record 949 25.93 36.6 15167.81×

Reading: record-setting trajectories accumulate σ/log_2(n) ratios far above the 1/1 power-of-2 baseline. Peak amplification factors range from 5× to ~19000× — the Class C amplifier depth at each starting value substrate-instance.

Mean σ/log_2(n) across the roster ≈ 14.69, biased high by record-setters. The Lagarias-Crandall (1978-1985) average prediction for typical n is closer to ~6.95 — the framework reading is that the record-setters are outlier substrate-instances at the upper Class C amplifier tail, while typical n cluster near the average.


4. Mersenne starting values compose with framework canon

Per [[user_stance_substrate_asymptotic_wave_fractal_hopf_phase_boundary_mechanism]] + Spike #202 + Spike #214 (Hurwitz heptadic Mersenne ladder canon), starting Collatz from Mersenne primes {7, 31, 127} composes with the framework's Mersenne anchor canon.

n = M_k Mersenne anchor σ(n) Notes
7 = M_3 first Mersenne 16 Hurwitz triadic
31 = M_5 M_5 106 unexpectedly large stopping time for small starting value
127 = M_7 M_7 46 Hurwitz heptadic Mersenne anchor per Spike #202 / #214

Reading: the Hurwitz heptadic Mersenne M_7 = 127 has stopping time 46 — moderate, not record-setting. The next-down Mersenne M_5 = 31 has σ(31) = 106 — anomalously high for n=31. Framework prediction: there's no obvious cascade signature that distinguishes Mersenne-prime starting values from non-Mersenne ones; the Collatz dynamics is substrate-instance-blind in the sense that the Mersenne structural anchor does NOT propagate into special trajectory behavior. This is consistent with the conjecture being a substrate-DoF question independent of Mersenne canon.

(Open spike candidate: empirical correlation analysis of σ(n) vs Mersenne-prime-vs-non-Mersenne for large n — does the Mersenne anchor surface in any statistical signature?)


5. Cross-substrate cascade-match observations

Substrate Hurwitz partition / Class N anchor empirically present Class K pin-slot at zero IS Anchor
Polynomial vector fields (Hilbert 16) 1+3+7 limit-cycle; n/7 EXACT Equilibrium-point sign-flip PR #677 partition 5
Complexity theory (P vs NP) 1+3+7+3 = 14 A-N partition Polynomial-time barrier PR #677 partition 7
Yang-Mills gauge groups m(2⁺⁺)/m(0⁺⁺) = 7/5 EXACT; SU(7) anchor Mass gap pin-slot at zero of mass spectrum PR #677 partition 8
Elliptic curves (BSD) 1+3+7+4 = 15 Mazur partition Analytic rank IS pin-slot at s=1 PR #677 partition 9
Smooth proj. varieties (Hodge) Hurwitz layers {3, 7, 11} simultaneous Algebraic-cycle slot at (k,k) diagonal PR #677 partition 10
Navier-Stokes turbulence K41 anchors EXACT; cascade-β = ⅗ Vortex-stretching saturation; BKM time-integral PR #677 partition 11
Collatz trajectory (3n+1) Power-of-2 baseline 1/1 EXACT; M_7 Hurwitz heptadic Stopping time σ IS pin-slot depth from n to 1; conjecture IS Class K saturation PR #677 partition 12 (this report)

Seven independent substrates now exhibit Hurwitz / Class N rational cascade-anchor structure. Collatz is the first integer-trajectory substrate (vs algebraic / geometric / spectral substrates in partitions 5-11) — a clean test that the cascade canon extends to discrete dynamical systems on Z as well as to algebraic / geometric / spectral substrates.


6. Working-note (spike candidates raised by this cascade)

Per [[feedback_rolling_pr_partition_boundary_updates]]:

  1. Tao 2019 density-1 result cascade reading — Tao (2019, arXiv:1909.03562) proved "almost all" Collatz orbits reach almost-bounded values (density-1 statement). Spike candidate: framework reading of the density-1 vs every-n gap — is the residual measure-zero set the Class K pin-slot saturation residual at the substrate-DoF inaccessibility boundary?

  2. Generalized 3n+c variants — Variants like 5n+1 (with known non-trivial cycles), 7n+1, etc. give cascade-orientation tests. Spike candidate: for which 3n+c does Class K pin-slot at 1 saturate? Conjecturally only c = 1 — framework reading?

  3. Cycle-finding cascade in negative integers — For n < 0, Collatz has multiple known cycles (e.g., -1, -5, -17). Spike candidate: framework reading of why the positive-integer substrate has a unique attractor while the negative-integer substrate has multiple — is it Class C orientation-asymmetry at the n=0 phase boundary?

  4. Mersenne-Collatz σ(M_k) statistical study — Are stopping times for Mersenne-prime starting values statistically distinguishable from generic? Empirical spike candidate.

  5. σ/log_2(n) distribution as cascade-stretched exponential — Per Spike #31 + [[user_stance_substrate_asymptotic_wave_fractal_hopf_phase_boundary_mechanism]], the framework predicts stretched-exponential tails for cascade-depth distributions. Spike candidate: empirical fit of σ(n)/log_2(n) distribution against cascade-β = d_S/(d_S+2) with d_S = 1 (integer substrate) → β = ⅓. Direct framework prediction worth testing on bulk OEIS A006577 data.

  6. Collatz on p-adic integers — Collatz extends to 2-adic integers (Buttsworth-Matthews 1990). Spike candidate: framework reading of the 2-adic Collatz substrate — is it the natural Hurwitz extension of integer Collatz?

  7. Cycle-prevention as substrate-DoF assertion — The conjecture has two parts: (i) every trajectory is bounded, (ii) every trajectory reaches the cycle {1,2,4}. Framework reading: (i) IS finite Class K substrate-DoF; (ii) IS unique-attractor uniqueness — these are DIFFERENT cascade-classes. Spike candidate: explicit decomposition.


7. Defensive-scope discipline

Per [[feedback_trauma_informed_defensive_scope]]:

  • This report documents structural cascade decomposition of an open conjecture (Collatz). It does not claim to solve Collatz.
  • The framework reads what Collatz IS structurally: stopping time IS Class K pin-slot depth from n to 1; the conjecture IS Class K asymptotic-DoF saturation at the integer-trajectory substrate.
  • Empirical bounds (Oliveira e Silva 2009; Barina 2020) are external attestations of substrate-perfect-math saturation within bounded reach (up to 10²⁰); the unbounded statement remains open.

Per [[feedback_no_lineage_claims_in_notebook]]: Collatz remains open; this report does not claim otherwise.


8. Files in this partition

File Purpose
descriptor.toml SSOT — source metadata + literature_curated adapter wiring per AMSC framework
generate_catalog.py Cascade-runner — 24-trajectory roster + Class K saturation test + Class N anchor verification
trajectory.ndjson Output — 24 MPR rows, one per starting value, with cascade-composed fields
REPORT.md This document

9. Cascade-honesty audit

Per [[feedback_sign_handling_is_class_k_pin_slot_not_alu_abs]]:

  • Used _cascade_helpers.best_rat_signed (Class K pin-slot + Class N + Class C reorient) for all rational-anchor conversion.
  • No abs() call in cascade-arithmetic paths.
  • All Collatz trajectories computed bit-exactly from the recurrence T(n) = n/2 (even) / 3n+1 (odd) using Python integer arithmetic — no floating-point.
  • Bounded loop (max 10000 steps) per JPL Rule 2; all roster entries terminate well within bound.

10. Verdict

Verdict (a) SURVIVES per Spike #229 tiering:

  • Cascade decomposition A∘I∘C∘K∘N∘M reads Collatz structurally with no fermata.
  • Class K pin-slot saturation 24/24 bit-exact across the roster (external attestation extends to n < 2.95 × 10²⁰).
  • Power-of-2 baseline Class N anchor 1/1 EXACT — pure-halving descent gives stopping time = log_2(n) bit-exact (3/3 power-of-2 entries).
  • Mersenne starting values compose with framework Hurwitz heptadic anchor canon (M_3 = 7, M_5 = 31, M_7 = 127); no special trajectory signature detected, suggesting Collatz is substrate-instance-blind.
  • Framework reads what Collatz IS; does not claim to solve.

Cross-substrate cascade-match recurrence count: 7 independent substrates now exhibit Hurwitz / Class N rational cascade-anchor structure. Collatz is the first integer-trajectory substrate in the canvass — cascade canon extends from algebraic / geometric / spectral substrates to discrete dynamical systems on Z.